Specification Key Words
On Parties:
Ideology:
A collectively held set of ideas and beliefs
Factionalism:
Refers to the arguments and disputes between two or more small
groups from within a larger group. It is said that a substantial
amount of “factionalism” occurs within the movement if this is
the case.
Party
Decline: The idea that parties are losing control to the people
Party
Renewal: The theory that parties are increasing in importance,
during elections and voting during Congress.
Party
Organisation: How a party involves itself within the political
process i.e it can either be top-down or bottom up.
Third
Parties: A party that is the 3rd
most popular in a country e.g Libertarian Party.
Independent
Candidates: A candidate that runs for office without the backing of
a political party
What
Are The Differences Between The Republicans & The Democrats:
Republicans:
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Democrats:
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Rebuilding the economy and
creating jobs
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Raising wages, closing the
wealth gap
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Fair and simple taxes for
growth
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Lowering health care costs
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A competitive America
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Defending the borders
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Freeing financial markets
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Fixing the criminal justice
system
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Workplace freedom
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Guaranteeing rights for
minorities, LGBTQ community and all Americans
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Responsible homeownership
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Common-sense gun reforms
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Reducing the federal debt
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Investment in modern
education
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Summarise
4 Democrats Policy That Show They Are More Focused On Social &
Moral Issues:
Crime:
They understand the disproportionate effects of crime, violence and
incarceration of communities of colour.
Abortion:
Believe that every women should have access to quality reproductive
healthcare services including safe and legal abortion. Want to start
the right to roll back the clock on women’s health and
reproductive rights.
Minimum
Wage: Want to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour over
time and index it to inflation.
Healthcare:
The affordable care act has covered 20 million more Americans and
ensured millions more will never be denied coverage because of
pre-existing conditions. They support reducing the cost of
prescription drugs, combating drugs and alcohol addiction and
improving the treatment of those with mental health issues.
Summarise
4 Republican Policy That Show They Are More Focused On ‘Small
Government’:
Minimum
Wage: Think that the minimum wage should be handled at state and
local level
Education:
Federal government should not be a partner as the Constitution gives
it no role in education, only parents are a child’s first and
foremost educators.
Wall
Street: Called banking regulations an excuse to establish
unprecedented government control over the nation’s financial
markets.
Environment:
Support all forms of energy that are marketable in a free economy.
Oppose any carbon tax.
How
Have The Two Parties Become More Distinct And Polarised In More
Recent Decades:
The
1990s brought a seismic shift in American politics.
Up
until then, both parties included a wide ideological range from
liberals to conservatives.
With
the break-up of the old Solid South, southern conservative Democrats
began to cross to the Republican party. This made the Republican
party more ideological conservative party and this made the
Democrats as a more homogeneous liberal party.
As
the 21st
century commentators began to talk of a 50-50 nation of Red &
Blue America, with blue being more Democrat and red being more
Republican.
Red
America:
Characterised
as white, overwhelming Protestant but often joined by practicing
Catholics.
In
Red America, the majority of voters think that the federal
government does too many things which would be better left to
private businesses and individuals, and they tend to think that the
federal income tax should be cut.
They
are pro-life, pro-guns and pro-traditional marriage and they oppose
Obamacare.
They
get their news from Fox News and listen to Conservative radio
stations featuring Mark Levin.
They
love W. Bush but hated the Clintons and Obama.
Blue
America:
It
is claimed that it is a racially, a rainbow, a coalition of white,
black, Asian and Hispanic Americans.
Attending
a place of worship on a regular basis is not a huge important in
Blue America.
They
think the federal government should do more to solve problems and
they think that the federal income should increase.
They
are pro-choice, favours gun control, pro- same sex marriage and are
supportive of Obamacare.
They
get their news from CNN and watch Saturday Night Live.
They
hated W. Bush and Donald Trump whilst they loved the Clintons and
Obama.
What
Is The ‘Coalitions Of Supporters’:
Gender:
In
9/10 elections between 1964 and 2000, women were significantly more
supportive of the Democrat candidate than the Republican.
This
is known as the Gender Gap: The gap between the support given to a
candidate by women and the support given to the same candidate by
men.
The
GG for Trump was 11 points – 52% men, 41% of women.
Clinton:
13 points, 52% women, 41% men.
Trump’s
attitude towards women became a feature of the 2016 POTUS election.
With rude remarks made during the Primaries and one month before
Election Day when the an infamous video tape was leaked “When
you’re a star, they let you do anything...” After this one would
have expected for his support among women to drop but it only went
down by 3%. But it was still the lowest for any Republican candidate
among women since 1964
Some
argue that women tend to vote for Democrat more since they have more
favoured policy such as the pro-choice and gun control.
Race:
In
10 elections between 1980 and 2016, African-Americans never gave
less than 83% of support to the Democrats. President Clinton had the
most loyal supporters among this group.
When
Obama was the first AA candidate for a major party, the share of AA
voting increased from 88% to 95%. Turnout also increased, as AA
accounted for 13% of the electorate.
Hispanics
are a growing group, they form 12% of the population but their full
political importance is not yet known.
Bush’s
Republican campaign spoke out to them as he himself can speak fluent
Spanish and his brother is married to an Hispanic women. The vote
increased to 31%
Not
many voted for Trump after his promise to build a wall.
Class
& Education:
30
years ago, Reagan Democrats were the most popular: White, working
class voters, mostly living in the northeast and Midwest, employed
in blue collar jobs who had been traditional Democrats but who
supported Republican Ronald Reagan in 1980 & 1984.
Trump
did well in the Rust Belt, winning 6 primaries and getting close in
another.
Most of his votes came from people who only had
qualifications from high school. Trump’s message of bringing back
jobs was what they had been longing for and these people flocked to
vote for Trump.
Geographic
Region:
The
Northeast has become the heartland of the Democrat party, it used to
be the south but now it is the northeast. In 7 elections from 1984
to 2008, the NE gave the Democratic candidate his largest percentage
of vote.
However
in 2016, Trump broke through the “blue wall” (an area that
almost always voted Democrat) and gained votes in Iowa, Wisconsin
and Michigan as well as Pennsylvania.
The
south has moved from being the Democrats best area to the
Republicans.
In
2000 the Republican won all of the south, and in 2008, Obama flipped
2 states back to Democrat control
In
2016, Clinton won only one state in the South (Virginia)
Urban
Vs Rural:
The
2016 election revealed how America is more and more divided by
community, urban areas heavily support the Democrats whilst white,
small towns and rural areas swing significantly to the Republicans.
Romney
won small towns and rural areas by just 50-48%. Whilst Trump won
these areas by 27% (61-34%.)
Trump’s
message of making ‘America great again’ resonated with voters
especially, white, older, blue collar voters.
As
Obama just about dug America out of the economic crisis, many felt
that he had not done enough “banks got bailed out, we got sold
out”.
In
2016 Trump appealed to these voters with his promises and many voted
for him as they felt that they had been “left behind”
Religion:
In
a country with a strict separation between Church and state, it is
surprising in the 21st
century that it remains an issue, but it links with social and moral
issues that divides the parties.
Protestants
& White Evangelicals: The Bible Belt (Southern states from Texas
to Virginia), tend to support the Republicans, giving them between
54-59% of the vote. Trump got 84% of this vote, the highest ever,
but this could be down to apathy with Clinton. They put a high
premium on the appointment on strict Supreme Court judges.
Catholics:
Traditionally, goes to the Democrats but this has decreased after
the Democrats changed stance on abortion. Thus, they now tend to
vote Republican. 45% of Catholics voted Democrat in 2016.
Religious
Attendance: There is a correlation between frequency of attendance
at a religious service and party support. Of those who go to a
religious service, 56% of them voted Republican whilst, those who do
not tend to get around 30% of the vote to the Democrats.
Describe
The Factionalised Nature Of The Parties And The Internal Divisions
Within Them:
The
Democrats:
After
the 2016 election, the Democrats were in poor shape.
Obama
did not leave the Democrats party in a stronger state than he found
it
White
House: Obama’s Democrats lost the White House and the fact that
their candidate won the popular vote by nearing 3 million votes
offered little comfort as it is Electoral College votes which count.
Congress:
In 2009, the Democrats controlled 58 seats in Senate and 255 in HOR.
8 years later they had just 48 votes in the Senate and 194 in HOR.
They were now the minority party.
State
Governorships: When Obama was first elected, the Democrats
controlled 29 of 50 state governorships but 8 years later they held
just 16 which, was a loss of 18.
State
Legislatures: In 2009, the Democrats controlled 61 of the 98
partisan state legislative houses. By 2017, they controlled just 31
– a loss of 30. They held 4082 seats (56%) of state legislative
seats in 2009 but only held 315 (43%) by 2017 – a loss of nearly
1000.
Sone
of those on the left of the party will be arguing for a more
left-of-centre, radical approach, stressing issues such as income
equality. Whilst others want to appeal to the Trump vote – white
working class.
The
Republicans:
After
the election of Obama, the Tea Party movement grew out of
dissatisfaction with Obama’s response to the banking collapse and
the economic meltdown on Wall Street.
They
stood for a strict adherence to the Constitution, limited government
and a reduction in the size of the federal government.
They
also opposed Obama’s healthcare reforms
Some
argue that the Tea Party movement gave birth to Donald Trump in 2016
– however, a winning team is still a party in conflict.
How
will the traditional and religious conservatives adapt to the Donald
Trump version of Republican ideology?
What
do the internationalists think of ‘America First’?
Internally,
can the party change the way candidates are elected and what will
they do if they lose the mid-terms?
List
The Key Debates Surrounding Party Debate & Renewal:
Theories
Of Party Decline:
David
Broder said that the US parties were in serious decline.
Whilst
what he said was taken out of context, he meant that party loyalty
has been “eroded”
Candidate
Selection: Until the last 1960s, POTUS candidates were chosen by
bosses on smoke-filled rooms whilst now the ordinary person chooses.
Both parties are struggling to choose candidates. The Democrats
struggled to anoint their preferred candidate because of strong
opposition from Sanders whilst the Republican hierarchy lost
complete control by a hostile takeover from Trump.
Communication
With Voters: Parties have lost their traditional function as the
communicator between politicians and the voters. Whilst the party
rally used to do this by answering questions, nowadays TV does this
whilst voters ‘speak back’ via opinion polls.
Emergence
Of ‘Movements’: The emergence of the Tea Party and Occupy
movements during the first 10 years of the 21st
century showed the extent to which many Americans are more prone to
join a movement than a traditional party. Americans tend to want to
influence rather than join. The way the Tea Party movement was able
to get the preferred Congressmen over the wishes of the Republican
party suggested that the decline of the political parties. Trump
presented himself as a movement rather than a candidate.
Theories
Of Party Renewal:
Theories
Of Party Decline Were Exaggerated: Whilst it’s true that parties
have declined, some argue that they play a less significant role in
politics. The death of the Republican party came after Watergate
whilst the death of the Democrats was reported to be in the
1960s-80s when it took a leftward shift but was resurrected by the
‘New Democrats’ of Clinton and Gore.
Nationalism
Of Campaigns: Some say that party renewable can be solved towards
the nationalising of electoral campaigns. This was true of the
Republican party in the mid-term elections of ‘94 and ’02 when
they campaigned for “Contact with America” where a
Constitutional amendment would be applied for balanced budget and
congressional term limits.
Increased
Partisanship In Congress: If parties were declining in importance, a
decline in partisanship could be anticipated. After all, if parties
no longer matter, why should their members continually disagree?
Evaluate
The Weakness Of US Parties:
The
2 Party System:
Evidence
Of A 2 Party System:
Popular
Vote: Between 1992 and 2016, the Democrats & Republicans
accounted for more than 80% of the popular vote on every occasion.
In 4 of these 7 elections, their combined vote exceeded 95%
Seats
In The Legislature: Following the 2016 elections, only two members
of Senate where not elected as Democrats or Republicans. Sanders is
the longest running independent, though he does represent the
Democrats.
Control
Of The Executive: In the White House, every POTUS since 1853 has
been either a Democrat or a Republican. This has been the case for a
century and a half.
State
Government: In January 2017, 49 of the 50 state governors were
either Democrats or Republicans, only exception being Bill Walker of
Alaska, he ran unsuccessfully as a Republican in 2010 and Democrats
in 2014.
Reasons
For A 2 Party System:
Electoral
System: FPTP makes it hard for 3rd
parties. A winner takes all system means that a 3rd
party receive no reward at all. Having a 3rd
party would lower the percentage of vote needed by the major party
candidates.
Broad
Party Ideologies: When the two major parties encompass such a wide
ideological spectrum there is not much room left for any other
parties to attract substantial support.
Primary
Elections: The phenomenon of primary elections helps to make the
major parties more responsive to the electorate, minimising the need
for protest voting. Protest votes often go to the third party.
Does The USA Have A 2
Party System:
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Yes:
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No:
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All POTUS since 1953 have
been either Democrat or Republican
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The USA have a 50-party
system with individual state parties being autonomous and
ideologically varied.
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Democrats & Republicans
combined regularly win over 95% of the vote.
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Some states are virtually
one-party states
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All 435 of the
Representatives are either Democrats or Republican
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Third parties have played a
significant role in some elections
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98/100 Senators are either
Republican or Democrat
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Many voters join ‘groups’
or ‘movements’ rather than a party (e.g the Tea Party
movement)
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Leadership in Congress is
organised by the two major parties
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Many Americans are
self-described ‘independents’
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State politics is equally
dominated by the two major parties.
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Describe
The Significance Of 3rd
Parties & Independent Candidates:
Despite
the domination of parties by the Republicans and Democrats, 3rd
parties do exist.
Best
known national 3rd
parties are the Libertarian Party and the Green Party.
Impacts
Of Third Parties:
3rd
parties are both unimportant and important. Their combines popular
vote in 2012 was 2% and just 6% in 2018.
In
1968, 1992 and 2000 the 3rd
party affected the outcome.
In
2000, the 2.7% for the Green Party almost certainly cost Al Gore the
presidency. Data suggested that the 22,000 votes given to him would
have gone to Al Gore.
In
5 sets of House elections between 2008 and 2016, the 3rd
party vote never exceeded 3.6% whilst the Senate had 4.5%.
Third
Party Difficulties:
Electoral
System: FPTP along with a winner takes all bonus, makes it hard for
a 3rd
party. Regional third parties can do well. In 1968 George Wallace
won 45 EC votes with just 13% of the vote. In 1992, Ross Perot won
no EC vote with 19% of the vote.
Ballot
Access Laws: 3rd
parties are disadvantaged by the states’ ballot access laws. Laws
in each state regulate how 3rd
parties’ candidates can qualify to get their name on the ballot.
Some such as Tennessee are straightforward requiring just 25
signatures. But some are more complicated requiring signatures from
each county in each state.
Lack
Of Resources: People are understandably reluctant to give money to
parties that they know are going to lose. Hence 3rd
parties cannot compete with the two parties in terms of expenditure
on organisation, staff and media.
Lack
Of Media Coverage: 3rd
parties suffer from a lack of media coverage. News programmes do not
advertise them because they are not newsworthy. The parties cannot
afford to make an advert. And the candidates are usually barred from
appearing in TV debates.
Co-optation:
If the 3rd
party does well in the pre-election, against all the odds as Ross
Perot did in 1992. It brings a problem as they need to co-optation
of its key policies by one of both major parties. It happened to
Perot when Clinton and the Republicans adopted policy to deal with
Perots flagship policy – the federal budget deficit.
Do Third Parties Play
An Significant Role In US Politics:
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Yes:
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No:
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Ross Perot won 19% of the
vote in 1992 and contributed to President Bush’s defeat.
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Two major parties dominate
presidential elections
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Green Party’s 2.7% in
2000 contributed to Al Gore’s defeat.
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Two major parties control
Congress
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Third parties can lose
elections but win influence by changing the policy of one or both
of both the major parties.
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Two major parties control
state politics
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Some states (Alaska) have
quite vibrant third parties which can play a significant role in
state and local races
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Two major parties will
often co-opt the policy of successful third parties, thereby
curtailing their election success (e.g co-opting Perot’s call
for balanced federal budget)
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